Club Africain vs TP Mazembe

Club Africain34%
Draw34%
TP Mazembe32%

0.98 expected goals for Club Africain

1.10 expected goals for TP Mazembe

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 34%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 35% chance, and both teams scoring, 35%. And about 9.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
Over 1.5 goals62%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals35%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals16%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Both teams score35%
Club Africain or draw68%
Draw or TP Mazembe66%
No draw66%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.1 expected

5.8 for Club Africain and 3.3 for TP Mazembe

Over 8.5 corners53%
Over 9.5 corners43%
Over 10.5 corners33%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.6 for Club Africain and 2.3 for TP Mazembe

Over 3.5 cards56%
Over 4.5 cards37%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

22.9 expected

14.0 for Club Africain and 8.9 for TP Mazembe

Over 20.5 shots63%
Over 22.5 shots50%
Over 24.5 shots38%

Fouls

35.4 expected

14.7 for Club Africain and 20.7 for TP Mazembe

Over 20.5 fouls99%
Over 22.5 fouls98%
Over 24.5 fouls95%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.