Vukovar vs Dinamo Zagreb

Vukovar14%
Draw15%
Dinamo Zagreb71%

1.12 expected goals for Vukovar

2.98 expected goals for Dinamo Zagreb

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Dinamo Zagreb the clear favourite: 71% to win. It expects 4.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 70% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
Over 2.5 goals70%It happened
Over 3.5 goals59%It happened
Over 4.5 goals39%It did not happen

Both teams score55%
Vukovar or draw29%
Draw or Dinamo Zagreb86%
No draw85%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

4.9 for Vukovar and 4.5 for Dinamo Zagreb

Over 8.5 corners56%
Over 9.5 corners45%
Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.8 for Vukovar and 2.1 for Dinamo Zagreb

Over 3.5 cards55%
Over 4.5 cards35%
Over 5.5 cards20%

Shots

24.0 expected

12.8 for Vukovar and 11.2 for Dinamo Zagreb

Over 20.5 shots69%
Over 22.5 shots56%
Over 24.5 shots44%

Fouls

27.0 expected

11.7 for Vukovar and 15.3 for Dinamo Zagreb

Over 20.5 fouls87%
Over 22.5 fouls78%
Over 24.5 fouls65%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.