Tuesday 27 October, 14:00
Final score
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2-4FC Augsburg
The model's most likely result happened: a FC Augsburg win (89%).
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Augsburg
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach6%
- Draw5%
- FC Augsburg89%
0.88 expected goals for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
3.50 expected goals for FC Augsburg
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes FC Augsburg the clear favourite: 89% to win. It expects 4.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals99%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals76%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals64%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals44%It happened
- Both teams score52%
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach or draw12%
- Draw or FC Augsburg94%
- No draw95%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.6 expected
6.0 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and 4.7 for FC Augsburg
- Over 8.5 corners68%
- Over 9.5 corners58%
- Over 10.5 corners48%
Cards
4.1 expected
1.7 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and 2.3 for FC Augsburg
- Over 3.5 cards58%
- Over 4.5 cards38%
- Over 5.5 cards22%
Shots
33.3 expected
19.1 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and 14.2 for FC Augsburg
- Over 20.5 shots95%
- Over 22.5 shots91%
- Over 24.5 shots85%
Fouls
24.1 expected
12.1 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and 12.0 for FC Augsburg
- Over 20.5 fouls74%
- Over 22.5 fouls60%
- Over 24.5 fouls45%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.