SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg

SC Freiburg66%
Draw12%
VfL Wolfsburg22%

2.69 expected goals for SC Freiburg

1.40 expected goals for VfL Wolfsburg

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes SC Freiburg the clear favourite: 66% to win. It expects 4.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.6 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
Over 2.5 goals75%It happened
Over 3.5 goals58%It happened
Over 4.5 goals39%It happened

Both teams score51%
SC Freiburg or draw78%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg34%
No draw88%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.6 expected

6.4 for SC Freiburg and 4.2 for VfL Wolfsburg

Over 8.5 corners67%
Over 9.5 corners57%
Over 10.5 corners47%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.8 for SC Freiburg and 2.4 for VfL Wolfsburg

Over 3.5 cards60%
Over 4.5 cards41%
Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

30.1 expected

18.6 for SC Freiburg and 11.5 for VfL Wolfsburg

Over 20.5 shots90%
Over 22.5 shots83%
Over 24.5 shots75%

Fouls

24.6 expected

10.8 for SC Freiburg and 13.8 for VfL Wolfsburg

Over 20.5 fouls77%
Over 22.5 fouls64%
Over 24.5 fouls49%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.