Probably Football

Matches

DFB Pokal (Germany)

Tuesday 27 October, 14:00

Final score

Borussia Mönchengladbach2-0Karlsruher SC

The model's most likely result happened: a Borussia Mönchengladbach win (64%).

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC

  1. Borussia Mönchengladbach64%
  2. Draw12%
  3. Karlsruher SC24%

2.66 expected goals for Borussia Mönchengladbach

1.42 expected goals for Karlsruher SC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the clear favourite: 64% to win. It expects 4.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.3 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals75%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals58%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals39%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.3 expected

5.5 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 4.7 for Karlsruher SC

  1. Over 8.5 corners64%
  2. Over 9.5 corners54%
  3. Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.2 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2.2 for Karlsruher SC

  1. Over 3.5 cards65%
  2. Over 4.5 cards46%
  3. Over 5.5 cards29%

Shots

29.1 expected

14.7 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 14.4 for Karlsruher SC

  1. Over 20.5 shots88%
  2. Over 22.5 shots80%
  3. Over 24.5 shots71%

Fouls

25.7 expected

13.4 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 12.2 for Karlsruher SC

  1. Over 20.5 fouls82%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls71%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls57%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.