Tuesday 27 October, 14:00
Final score
Bayern München6-11. FC Magdeburg
The model's most likely result happened: a Bayern München win (98%).
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg
- Bayern München98%
- Draw1%
- 1. FC Magdeburg1%
5.11 expected goals for Bayern München
0.96 expected goals for 1. FC Magdeburg
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Bayern München the clear favourite: 98% to win. It expects 6.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 85% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.4 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals100%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals98%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals85%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals85%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals72%It happened
- Both teams score52%
- Bayern München or draw99%
- Draw or 1. FC Magdeburg2%
- No draw99%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.4 expected
6.3 for Bayern München and 4.1 for 1. FC Magdeburg
- Over 8.5 corners66%
- Over 9.5 corners55%
- Over 10.5 corners46%
Cards
3.9 expected
1.6 for Bayern München and 2.2 for 1. FC Magdeburg
- Over 3.5 cards54%
- Over 4.5 cards34%
- Over 5.5 cards19%
Shots
30.5 expected
19.9 for Bayern München and 10.6 for 1. FC Magdeburg
- Over 20.5 shots90%
- Over 22.5 shots84%
- Over 24.5 shots75%
Fouls
21.0 expected
11.0 for Bayern München and 10.0 for 1. FC Magdeburg
- Over 20.5 fouls52%
- Over 22.5 fouls37%
- Over 24.5 fouls23%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.