Wednesday 28 October, 16:00
Final score
El Nacional1-1Gualaceo SC
The model gave this result 31%. Its most likely result was a Gualaceo SC win (38%).
El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC
- El Nacional31%
- Draw31%
- Gualaceo SC38%
0.94 expected goals for El Nacional
1.54 expected goals for Gualaceo SC
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals71%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals40%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals24%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals11%It did not happen
- Both teams score45%
- El Nacional or draw62%
- Draw or Gualaceo SC69%
- No draw69%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.