Wednesday 28 October, 16:00
Final score
Santo Domingo3-022 de Julio
The model's most likely result happened: a Santo Domingo win (86%).
Santo Domingo vs 22 de Julio
- Santo Domingo86%
- Draw12%
- 22 de Julio2%
3.27 expected goals for Santo Domingo
0.65 expected goals for 22 de Julio
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Santo Domingo the clear favourite: 86% to win. It expects 3.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals90%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals61%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals55%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals35%It did not happen
- Both teams score45%
- Santo Domingo or draw98%
- Draw or 22 de Julio14%
- No draw88%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.