Wednesday 21 October, 15:00
Final score
Cumbayá2-1El Nacional
The model's most likely result happened: a Cumbayá win (61%).
Cumbayá vs El Nacional
- Cumbayá61%
- Draw25%
- El Nacional14%
2.04 expected goals for Cumbayá
1.08 expected goals for El Nacional
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Cumbayá the clear favourite: 61% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals48%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals38%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen
- Both teams score49%
- Cumbayá or draw86%
- Draw or El Nacional39%
- No draw75%
Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.