UEFA Europa Conference League (International)
Thursday 22 October, 11:45
Final score
Trabzonspor2-0Heart Of Midlothian
The model gave this result 22%. Its most likely result was a Heart Of Midlothian win (57%).
Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian
- Trabzonspor22%
- Draw21%
- Heart Of Midlothian57%
1.02 expected goals for Trabzonspor
2.16 expected goals for Heart Of Midlothian
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Heart Of Midlothian the clear favourite: 57% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.8 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals54%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals39%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen
- Both teams score51%
- Trabzonspor or draw43%
- Draw or Heart Of Midlothian78%
- No draw79%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.8 expected
5.4 for Trabzonspor and 5.4 for Heart Of Midlothian
- Over 8.5 corners69%
- Over 9.5 corners59%
- Over 10.5 corners49%
Cards
4.7 expected
2.1 for Trabzonspor and 2.6 for Heart Of Midlothian
- Over 3.5 cards68%
- Over 4.5 cards50%
- Over 5.5 cards32%
Shots
29.9 expected
14.8 for Trabzonspor and 15.1 for Heart Of Midlothian
- Over 20.5 shots90%
- Over 22.5 shots83%
- Over 24.5 shots75%
Fouls
28.6 expected
13.4 for Trabzonspor and 15.1 for Heart Of Midlothian
- Over 20.5 fouls92%
- Over 22.5 fouls85%
- Over 24.5 fouls75%
Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.