FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split

FC Thun20%
Draw19%
HNK Hajduk Split61%

1.12 expected goals for FC Thun

2.53 expected goals for HNK Hajduk Split

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes HNK Hajduk Split the clear favourite: 61% to win. It expects 3.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals88%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals59%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals49%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals30%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
FC Thun or draw39%
Draw or HNK Hajduk Split80%
No draw81%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.4 for FC Thun and 4.1 for HNK Hajduk Split

Over 8.5 corners57%
Over 9.5 corners46%
Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

4.3 expected

2.2 for FC Thun and 2.1 for HNK Hajduk Split

Over 3.5 cards62%
Over 4.5 cards43%
Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

26.2 expected

13.9 for FC Thun and 12.3 for HNK Hajduk Split

Over 20.5 shots79%
Over 22.5 shots69%
Over 24.5 shots57%

Fouls

28.1 expected

15.9 for FC Thun and 12.2 for HNK Hajduk Split

Over 20.5 fouls91%
Over 22.5 fouls83%
Over 24.5 fouls72%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.