Probably Football

Matches

UEFA Europa Conference League (International)

Thursday 22 October, 11:45

Final score

FC Nordsjaelland2-2CSKA Sofia

The model gave this result 12%. Its most likely result was a FC Nordsjaelland win (86%).

FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia

  1. FC Nordsjaelland86%
  2. Draw12%
  3. CSKA Sofia2%

2.67 expected goals for FC Nordsjaelland

0.49 expected goals for CSKA Sofia

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes FC Nordsjaelland the clear favourite: 86% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 40%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals39%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.