Probably Football

Matches

UEFA Europa Conference League (International)

Thursday 22 October, 11:45

Final score

Kauno Žalgiris1-4Brann

The model's most likely result happened: a Brann win (55%).

Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann

  1. Kauno Žalgiris22%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Brann55%

0.85 expected goals for Kauno Žalgiris

1.84 expected goals for Brann

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Brann the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals28%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals14%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.