Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos

Kairat Almaty28%
Draw27%
Panathinaikos45%

0.89 expected goals for Kairat Almaty

1.36 expected goals for Panathinaikos

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Panathinaikos has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Kairat Almaty win at 28%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%. And about 10.9 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals67%It happened
Over 2.5 goals49%It happened
Over 3.5 goals19%It happened
Over 4.5 goals8%It happened

Both teams score46%
Kairat Almaty or draw55%
Draw or Panathinaikos72%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.9 expected

5.6 for Kairat Almaty and 5.3 for Panathinaikos

Over 8.5 corners70%
Over 9.5 corners60%
Over 10.5 corners50%

Cards

4.8 expected

2.1 for Kairat Almaty and 2.7 for Panathinaikos

Over 3.5 cards71%
Over 4.5 cards53%
Over 5.5 cards36%

Shots

29.6 expected

17.4 for Kairat Almaty and 12.3 for Panathinaikos

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots82%
Over 24.5 shots73%

Fouls

24.2 expected

11.9 for Kairat Almaty and 12.4 for Panathinaikos

Over 20.5 fouls75%
Over 22.5 fouls61%
Over 24.5 fouls46%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.