Probably Football

Matches

UEFA Europa Conference League (International)

Thursday 22 October, 11:45

Final score

FC Iberia 19991-1Mjallby AIF

The model gave this result 26%. Its most likely result was a Mjallby AIF win (46%).

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF

  1. FC Iberia 199928%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Mjallby AIF46%

0.91 expected goals for FC Iberia 1999

1.44 expected goals for Mjallby AIF

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Mjallby AIF has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a FC Iberia 1999 win at 28%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals68%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals49%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals21%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.