SC Braga vs Gent

SC Braga44%
Draw29%
Gent27%

1.04 expected goals for SC Braga

0.80 expected goals for Gent

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

SC Braga has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Gent win at 27%. It expects 1.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 40%. And about 8.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals83%It happened
Over 1.5 goals55%It happened
Over 2.5 goals50%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals11%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals4%It did not happen

Both teams score40%
SC Braga or draw73%
Draw or Gent56%
No draw70%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.8 expected

5.1 for SC Braga and 3.7 for Gent

Over 8.5 corners49%
Over 9.5 corners39%
Over 10.5 corners29%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for SC Braga and 2.3 for Gent

Over 3.5 cards59%
Over 4.5 cards40%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

23.8 expected

13.6 for SC Braga and 10.2 for Gent

Over 20.5 shots68%
Over 22.5 shots55%
Over 24.5 shots43%

Fouls

22.9 expected

11.0 for SC Braga and 11.9 for Gent

Over 20.5 fouls66%
Over 22.5 fouls51%
Over 24.5 fouls36%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.