Probably Football

Matches

UEFA Europa League (International)

Thursday 22 October, 11:45

Final score

Ferencvarosi TC4-1Torreense

The model's most likely result happened: a Ferencvarosi TC win (61%).

Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense

  1. Ferencvarosi TC61%
  2. Draw21%
  3. Torreense18%

1.83 expected goals for Ferencvarosi TC

0.90 expected goals for Torreense

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Ferencvarosi TC the clear favourite: 61% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.9 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals29%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals14%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.9 expected

6.1 for Ferencvarosi TC and 4.8 for Torreense

  1. Over 8.5 corners70%
  2. Over 9.5 corners60%
  3. Over 10.5 corners50%

Cards

3.9 expected

2.0 for Ferencvarosi TC and 1.8 for Torreense

  1. Over 3.5 cards54%
  2. Over 4.5 cards34%
  3. Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

29.9 expected

20.3 for Ferencvarosi TC and 9.5 for Torreense

  1. Over 20.5 shots88%
  2. Over 22.5 shots81%
  3. Over 24.5 shots72%

Fouls

26.4 expected

13.7 for Ferencvarosi TC and 12.7 for Torreense

  1. Over 20.5 fouls85%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls75%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls61%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.