Celtic vs Celta Vigo

Celtic56%
Draw20%
Celta Vigo24%

1.86 expected goals for Celtic

1.17 expected goals for Celta Vigo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Celtic the clear favourite: 56% to win. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals36%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Celtic or draw76%
Draw or Celta Vigo44%
No draw80%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.3 expected

6.2 for Celtic and 4.1 for Celta Vigo

Over 8.5 corners65%
Over 9.5 corners55%
Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.8 for Celtic and 2.3 for Celta Vigo

Over 3.5 cards58%
Over 4.5 cards39%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

27.7 expected

16.7 for Celtic and 11.0 for Celta Vigo

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

24.6 expected

11.9 for Celtic and 12.7 for Celta Vigo

Over 20.5 fouls77%
Over 22.5 fouls64%
Over 24.5 fouls49%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.