Thursday 22 October, 14:00

Final score

Beşiktaş2-2Crystal Palace

The model gave this result 21%. Its most likely result was a Crystal Palace win (45%).

Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace

Beşiktaş34%
Draw21%
Crystal Palace45%

1.34 expected goals for Beşiktaş

1.74 expected goals for Crystal Palace

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Crystal Palace has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 21% and a Beşiktaş win at 34%. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals37%It happened
Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Beşiktaş or draw55%
Draw or Crystal Palace66%
No draw79%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

5.9 for Beşiktaş and 4.1 for Crystal Palace

Over 8.5 corners62%
Over 9.5 corners51%
Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.9 for Beşiktaş and 2.1 for Crystal Palace

Over 3.5 cards57%
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

29.9 expected

19.3 for Beşiktaş and 10.6 for Crystal Palace

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots82%
Over 24.5 shots73%

Fouls

20.7 expected

9.1 for Beşiktaş and 11.7 for Crystal Palace

Over 20.5 fouls50%
Over 22.5 fouls35%
Over 24.5 fouls22%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.