Club Brugge KV vs Lens

Club Brugge KV47%
Draw19%
Lens34%

2.10 expected goals for Club Brugge KV

1.83 expected goals for Lens

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Club Brugge KV has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 19% and a Lens win at 34%. It expects 3.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%. And about 10.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals91%It happened
Over 2.5 goals67%It happened
Over 3.5 goals55%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals36%It did not happen

Both teams score60%
Club Brugge KV or draw66%
Draw or Lens53%
No draw81%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.3 expected

5.5 for Club Brugge KV and 4.8 for Lens

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.8 for Club Brugge KV and 2.3 for Lens

Over 3.5 cards59%
Over 4.5 cards39%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

31.4 expected

18.0 for Club Brugge KV and 13.3 for Lens

Over 20.5 shots92%
Over 22.5 shots87%
Over 24.5 shots79%

Fouls

22.4 expected

11.1 for Club Brugge KV and 11.2 for Lens

Over 20.5 fouls63%
Over 22.5 fouls47%
Over 24.5 fouls33%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.