Aston Villa vs Viking

Aston Villa56%
Draw18%
Viking26%

2.35 expected goals for Aston Villa

1.61 expected goals for Viking

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Aston Villa the clear favourite: 56% to win. It expects 4.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 11.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals91%It happened
Over 2.5 goals67%It happened
Over 3.5 goals56%It happened
Over 4.5 goals36%It did not happen

Both teams score59%
Aston Villa or draw74%
Draw or Viking44%
No draw82%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.0 expected

6.4 for Aston Villa and 4.5 for Viking

Over 8.5 corners70%
Over 9.5 corners61%
Over 10.5 corners51%

Cards

4.3 expected

1.9 for Aston Villa and 2.5 for Viking

Over 3.5 cards63%
Over 4.5 cards44%
Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

32.5 expected

17.9 for Aston Villa and 14.6 for Viking

Over 20.5 shots94%
Over 22.5 shots89%
Over 24.5 shots83%

Fouls

23.8 expected

10.8 for Aston Villa and 13.1 for Viking

Over 20.5 fouls72%
Over 22.5 fouls58%
Over 24.5 fouls43%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.