Probably Football

Matches

Liga Pro Serie B (Ecuador)

Wednesday 28 October, 16:00

Final score

Atletico FC0-1Cuniburo

The model gave this result 26%. Its most likely result was a Atletico FC win (41%).

Atletico FC vs Cuniburo

  1. Atletico FC41%
  2. Draw33%
  3. Cuniburo26%

1.08 expected goals for Atletico FC

1.04 expected goals for Cuniburo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Atletico FC has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 33% and a Cuniburo win at 26%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 37% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals63%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals37%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals17%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.