Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Sportivo Luqueno44%
Draw29%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo27%

1.39 expected goals for Sportivo Luqueno

0.93 expected goals for Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Sportivo Luqueno has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Club Sp. San Lorenzo win at 27%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 10.6 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
Over 1.5 goals68%It happened
Over 2.5 goals43%It happened
Over 3.5 goals20%It happened
Over 4.5 goals9%It happened

Both teams score50%
Sportivo Luqueno or draw73%
Draw or Club Sp. San Lorenzo56%
No draw71%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.6 expected

5.9 for Sportivo Luqueno and 4.7 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Over 8.5 corners67%
Over 9.5 corners57%
Over 10.5 corners47%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.9 for Sportivo Luqueno and 2.3 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Over 3.5 cards60%
Over 4.5 cards40%
Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

25.8 expected

14.2 for Sportivo Luqueno and 11.6 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Over 20.5 shots77%
Over 22.5 shots67%
Over 24.5 shots55%

Fouls

21.0 expected

9.9 for Sportivo Luqueno and 11.0 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Over 20.5 fouls52%
Over 22.5 fouls36%
Over 24.5 fouls23%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.