Deportivo Recoleta vs Rubio NU

Deportivo Recoleta40%
Draw27%
Rubio NU33%

1.54 expected goals for Deportivo Recoleta

1.32 expected goals for Rubio NU

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals78%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals51%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals32%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen

Both teams score53%
Deportivo Recoleta or draw67%
Draw or Rubio NU60%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.7 for Deportivo Recoleta and 4.5 for Rubio NU

Over 8.5 corners63%
Over 9.5 corners53%
Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.0 expected

2.0 for Deportivo Recoleta and 2.0 for Rubio NU

Over 3.5 cards57%
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

27.1 expected

13.1 for Deportivo Recoleta and 14.0 for Rubio NU

Over 20.5 shots82%
Over 22.5 shots73%
Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

23.5 expected

12.4 for Deportivo Recoleta and 11.1 for Rubio NU

Over 20.5 fouls70%
Over 22.5 fouls56%
Over 24.5 fouls41%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.