Olimpia vs 2 de Mayo

Olimpia51%
Draw27%
2 de Mayo22%

1.69 expected goals for Olimpia

0.88 expected goals for 2 de Mayo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Olimpia has the edge (51%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a 2 de Mayo win at 22%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
Over 2.5 goals47%It happened
Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Olimpia or draw78%
Draw or 2 de Mayo49%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.7 for Olimpia and 4.1 for 2 de Mayo

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners49%
Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.3 for Olimpia and 2.2 for 2 de Mayo

Over 3.5 cards67%
Over 4.5 cards48%
Over 5.5 cards31%

Shots

26.6 expected

17.0 for Olimpia and 9.6 for 2 de Mayo

Over 20.5 shots80%
Over 22.5 shots70%
Over 24.5 shots59%

Fouls

23.4 expected

12.4 for Olimpia and 11.0 for 2 de Mayo

Over 20.5 fouls70%
Over 22.5 fouls55%
Over 24.5 fouls40%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.