Delfines Coatzacoalcos vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Delfines Coatzacoalcos49%
- Draw24%
- La Tribu de Cd. Juarez27%
1.65 expected goals for Delfines Coatzacoalcos
1.34 expected goals for La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
Delfines Coatzacoalcos has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a La Tribu de Cd. Juarez win at 27%. The biggest factor in these numbers is playing at home, which adds 11% to the goals of Delfines Coatzacoalcos. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Delfines Coatzacoalcos
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Delfines Coatzacoalcos attack0%
- La Tribu de Cd. Juarez defence+9%
Expected goals1.65
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- La Tribu de Cd. Juarez attack+9%
- Delfines Coatzacoalcos defence−10%
Expected goals1.34
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Over 3.5 goals35%
- Over 4.5 goals18%
- Both teams score52%
- Delfines Coatzacoalcos or draw73%
- Draw or La Tribu de Cd. Juarez51%
- No draw76%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.