Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor de San Pedro

Mineros de Fresnillo53%
Draw24%
Calor de San Pedro23%

1.70 expected goals for Mineros de Fresnillo

1.21 expected goals for Calor de San Pedro

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Mineros de Fresnillo has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Calor de San Pedro win at 23%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
Over 2.5 goals53%It happened
Over 3.5 goals33%It happened
Over 4.5 goals17%It happened

Both teams score52%
Mineros de Fresnillo or draw77%
Draw or Calor de San Pedro48%
No draw76%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 09:18 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.