Probably Football

Matches

Liga Premier Serie A (Mexico)

Saturday 24 October, 19:00

Final score

Vaqueros Reynosa0-1Delfines Coatzacoalcos

The model gave this result 31%. Its most likely result was a Vaqueros Reynosa win (45%).

Vaqueros Reynosa vs Delfines Coatzacoalcos

  1. Vaqueros Reynosa45%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Delfines Coatzacoalcos31%

1.62 expected goals for Vaqueros Reynosa

1.49 expected goals for Delfines Coatzacoalcos

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Vaqueros Reynosa has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Delfines Coatzacoalcos win at 31%. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals82%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals56%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals38%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.