Friday 23 October, 19:30
Final score
Acatlan5-3Ciervos
The model's most likely result happened: a Acatlan win (85%).
Acatlan vs Ciervos
- Acatlan85%
- Draw7%
- Ciervos8%
3.42 expected goals for Acatlan
1.19 expected goals for Ciervos
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Acatlan the clear favourite: 85% to win. It expects 4.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals99%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals77%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals68%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals49%It happened
- Both teams score54%
- Acatlan or draw92%
- Draw or Ciervos15%
- No draw93%
Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.