Probably Football

Matches

Liga Premier Serie A (Mexico)

Friday 23 October, 19:00

Final score

Héroes de Zaci6-0Dragones de Oaxaca

The model gave this result 35%. Its most likely result was a Dragones de Oaxaca win (43%).

Héroes de Zaci vs Dragones de Oaxaca

  1. Héroes de Zaci35%
  2. Draw22%
  3. Dragones de Oaxaca43%

1.50 expected goals for Héroes de Zaci

1.84 expected goals for Dragones de Oaxaca

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Dragones de Oaxaca has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 22% and a Héroes de Zaci win at 35%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals59%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals43%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals24%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.