AFC Champions League Two (International)
Wednesday 28 October, 13:15
Final score
Khalidiya1-2Al Wahda FC
The model's most likely result happened: a Al Wahda FC win (42%).
Khalidiya vs Al Wahda FC
- Khalidiya32%
- Draw26%
- Al Wahda FC42%
1.05 expected goals for Khalidiya
1.25 expected goals for Al Wahda FC
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Al Wahda FC has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Khalidiya win at 32%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.1 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals68%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals48%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals20%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen
- Both teams score54%
- Khalidiya or draw58%
- Draw or Al Wahda FC68%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.1 expected
5.7 for Khalidiya and 3.4 for Al Wahda FC
- Over 8.5 corners53%
- Over 9.5 corners42%
- Over 10.5 corners32%
Cards
4.0 expected
1.8 for Khalidiya and 2.2 for Al Wahda FC
- Over 3.5 cards56%
- Over 4.5 cards37%
- Over 5.5 cards21%
Shots
27.2 expected
17.2 for Khalidiya and 10.0 for Al Wahda FC
- Over 20.5 shots82%
- Over 22.5 shots73%
- Over 24.5 shots62%
Fouls
20.6 expected
9.9 for Khalidiya and 10.8 for Al Wahda FC
- Over 20.5 fouls49%
- Over 22.5 fouls34%
- Over 24.5 fouls21%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.