Probably Football

Matches

AFC Champions League Two (International)

Wednesday 28 October, 13:15

Final score

Khalidiya1-2Al Wahda FC

The model's most likely result happened: a Al Wahda FC win (42%).

Khalidiya vs Al Wahda FC

  1. Khalidiya32%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Al Wahda FC42%

1.05 expected goals for Khalidiya

1.25 expected goals for Al Wahda FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Al Wahda FC has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Khalidiya win at 32%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals68%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals20%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.1 expected

5.7 for Khalidiya and 3.4 for Al Wahda FC

  1. Over 8.5 corners53%
  2. Over 9.5 corners42%
  3. Over 10.5 corners32%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.8 for Khalidiya and 2.2 for Al Wahda FC

  1. Over 3.5 cards56%
  2. Over 4.5 cards37%
  3. Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

27.2 expected

17.2 for Khalidiya and 10.0 for Al Wahda FC

  1. Over 20.5 shots82%
  2. Over 22.5 shots73%
  3. Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

20.6 expected

9.9 for Khalidiya and 10.8 for Al Wahda FC

  1. Over 20.5 fouls49%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls34%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls21%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.