Kashima vs Pohang Steelers

Kashima68%
Draw18%
Pohang Steelers14%

2.12 expected goals for Kashima

0.85 expected goals for Pohang Steelers

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Kashima the clear favourite: 68% to win. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 8.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
Over 2.5 goals53%It happened
Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Both teams score50%
Kashima or draw86%
Draw or Pohang Steelers32%
No draw82%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.2 expected

4.1 for Kashima and 4.2 for Pohang Steelers

Over 8.5 corners43%
Over 9.5 corners33%
Over 10.5 corners24%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.3 for Kashima and 2.4 for Pohang Steelers

Over 3.5 cards49%
Over 4.5 cards30%
Over 5.5 cards16%

Shots

25.2 expected

14.1 for Kashima and 11.1 for Pohang Steelers

Over 20.5 shots75%
Over 22.5 shots63%
Over 24.5 shots51%

Fouls

26.3 expected

13.0 for Kashima and 13.4 for Pohang Steelers

Over 20.5 fouls85%
Over 22.5 fouls74%
Over 24.5 fouls61%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.