AFC Champions League Elite (International)
Tuesday 27 October, 11:00
Final score
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2-0Esteghlal FC
The model's most likely result happened: a Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win (57%).
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Esteghlal FC
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai57%
- Draw23%
- Esteghlal FC20%
1.72 expected goals for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0.96 expected goals for Esteghlal FC
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Shabab Al Ahli Dubai the clear favourite: 57% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 8.2 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals49%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals28%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen
- Both teams score50%
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw80%
- Draw or Esteghlal FC43%
- No draw77%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
8.2 expected
4.1 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and 4.1 for Esteghlal FC
- Over 8.5 corners43%
- Over 9.5 corners32%
- Over 10.5 corners23%
Cards
3.5 expected
1.2 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and 2.2 for Esteghlal FC
- Over 3.5 cards45%
- Over 4.5 cards26%
- Over 5.5 cards14%
Shots
25.2 expected
9.9 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and 15.3 for Esteghlal FC
- Over 20.5 shots74%
- Over 22.5 shots63%
- Over 24.5 shots51%
Fouls
20.6 expected
10.5 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and 10.1 for Esteghlal FC
- Over 20.5 fouls49%
- Over 22.5 fouls34%
- Over 24.5 fouls21%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.