Probably Football

Matches

AFC Champions League Elite (International)

Tuesday 27 October, 07:15

Final score

Beijing Guoan2-2Jeonbuk Motors

The model gave this result 21%. Its most likely result was a Jeonbuk Motors win (56%).

Beijing Guoan vs Jeonbuk Motors

  1. Beijing Guoan23%
  2. Draw21%
  3. Jeonbuk Motors56%

1.12 expected goals for Beijing Guoan

1.94 expected goals for Jeonbuk Motors

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Jeonbuk Motors the clear favourite: 56% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.7 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals37%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.7 expected

4.9 for Beijing Guoan and 4.7 for Jeonbuk Motors

  1. Over 8.5 corners59%
  2. Over 9.5 corners48%
  3. Over 10.5 corners38%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for Beijing Guoan and 2.2 for Jeonbuk Motors

  1. Over 3.5 cards59%
  2. Over 4.5 cards39%
  3. Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

24.7 expected

15.1 for Beijing Guoan and 9.6 for Jeonbuk Motors

  1. Over 20.5 shots72%
  2. Over 22.5 shots60%
  3. Over 24.5 shots48%

Fouls

24.0 expected

10.9 for Beijing Guoan and 13.0 for Jeonbuk Motors

  1. Over 20.5 fouls73%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls59%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls44%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.