Probably Football

Matches

AFC Champions League Elite (International)

Tuesday 27 October, 05:00

Final score

SHANGHAI SIPG2-3Công An Nhân Dân

The model's most likely result happened: a Công An Nhân Dân win (40%).

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân

  1. SHANGHAI SIPG34%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Công An Nhân Dân40%

1.23 expected goals for SHANGHAI SIPG

1.45 expected goals for Công An Nhân Dân

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals28%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals13%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

4.2 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 5.6 for Công An Nhân Dân

  1. Over 8.5 corners59%
  2. Over 9.5 corners49%
  3. Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.9 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 2.1 for Công An Nhân Dân

  1. Over 3.5 cards57%
  2. Over 4.5 cards38%
  3. Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

28.8 expected

12.4 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 16.4 for Công An Nhân Dân

  1. Over 20.5 shots87%
  2. Over 22.5 shots79%
  3. Over 24.5 shots70%

Fouls

23.2 expected

12.2 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 10.9 for Công An Nhân Dân

  1. Over 20.5 fouls68%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls53%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls38%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 17:19 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.