AFC Champions League Elite (International)
Tuesday 27 October, 05:00
Final score
SHANGHAI SIPG2-3Công An Nhân Dân
The model's most likely result happened: a Công An Nhân Dân win (40%).
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân
- SHANGHAI SIPG34%
- Draw26%
- Công An Nhân Dân40%
1.23 expected goals for SHANGHAI SIPG
1.45 expected goals for Công An Nhân Dân
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.8 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals48%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals28%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals13%It happened
- Both teams score51%
- SHANGHAI SIPG or draw60%
- Draw or Công An Nhân Dân66%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.8 expected
4.2 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 5.6 for Công An Nhân Dân
- Over 8.5 corners59%
- Over 9.5 corners49%
- Over 10.5 corners39%
Cards
4.0 expected
1.9 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 2.1 for Công An Nhân Dân
- Over 3.5 cards57%
- Over 4.5 cards38%
- Over 5.5 cards22%
Shots
28.8 expected
12.4 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 16.4 for Công An Nhân Dân
- Over 20.5 shots87%
- Over 22.5 shots79%
- Over 24.5 shots70%
Fouls
23.2 expected
12.2 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 10.9 for Công An Nhân Dân
- Over 20.5 fouls68%
- Over 22.5 fouls53%
- Over 24.5 fouls38%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 17:19 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.