Kyoto Sanga vs Newcastle Jets

Kyoto Sanga55%
Draw21%
Newcastle Jets24%

1.93 expected goals for Kyoto Sanga

1.30 expected goals for Newcastle Jets

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Kyoto Sanga the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals40%It happened
Over 4.5 goals22%It happened

Both teams score51%
Kyoto Sanga or draw76%
Draw or Newcastle Jets45%
No draw79%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

4.7 for Kyoto Sanga and 4.7 for Newcastle Jets

Over 8.5 corners56%
Over 9.5 corners45%
Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

3.3 expected

1.5 for Kyoto Sanga and 1.8 for Newcastle Jets

Over 3.5 cards43%
Over 4.5 cards24%
Over 5.5 cards12%

Shots

24.8 expected

16.1 for Kyoto Sanga and 8.8 for Newcastle Jets

Over 20.5 shots72%
Over 22.5 shots61%
Over 24.5 shots49%

Fouls

22.1 expected

12.6 for Kyoto Sanga and 9.6 for Newcastle Jets

Over 20.5 fouls61%
Over 22.5 fouls45%
Over 24.5 fouls31%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 17:19 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.