Daejeon Citizen vs Vissel Kobe

Daejeon Citizen22%
Draw24%
Vissel Kobe54%

0.90 expected goals for Daejeon Citizen

1.66 expected goals for Vissel Kobe

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Vissel Kobe has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Daejeon Citizen win at 22%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 9.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals73%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals47%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals25%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Both teams score50%
Daejeon Citizen or draw46%
Draw or Vissel Kobe79%
No draw76%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.1 expected

5.3 for Daejeon Citizen and 3.9 for Vissel Kobe

Over 8.5 corners53%
Over 9.5 corners43%
Over 10.5 corners33%

Cards

2.6 expected

1.2 for Daejeon Citizen and 1.5 for Vissel Kobe

Over 3.5 cards27%
Over 4.5 cards13%
Over 5.5 cards5%

Shots

25.2 expected

17.2 for Daejeon Citizen and 8.0 for Vissel Kobe

Over 20.5 shots74%
Over 22.5 shots62%
Over 24.5 shots50%

Fouls

19.6 expected

10.0 for Daejeon Citizen and 9.6 for Vissel Kobe

Over 20.5 fouls41%
Over 22.5 fouls26%
Over 24.5 fouls15%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 17:19 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.