Probably Football

Matches

AFC Champions League Elite (International)

Monday 26 October, 13:15

Final score

Al-Qadisiyah FC1-1Al Sadd

The model gave this result 9%. Its most likely result was a Al-Qadisiyah FC win (82%).

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Sadd

  1. Al-Qadisiyah FC82%
  2. Draw9%
  3. Al Sadd9%

3.21 expected goals for Al-Qadisiyah FC

1.08 expected goals for Al Sadd

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the clear favourite: 82% to win. It expects 4.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 11.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals93%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals68%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals62%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals43%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.2 expected

6.4 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 4.8 for Al Sadd

  1. Over 8.5 corners72%
  2. Over 9.5 corners63%
  3. Over 10.5 corners53%

Cards

3.1 expected

1.4 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 1.7 for Al Sadd

  1. Over 3.5 cards37%
  2. Over 4.5 cards20%
  3. Over 5.5 cards9%

Shots

31.8 expected

19.5 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 12.3 for Al Sadd

  1. Over 20.5 shots93%
  2. Over 22.5 shots87%
  3. Over 24.5 shots80%

Fouls

21.2 expected

11.1 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 10.2 for Al Sadd

  1. Over 20.5 fouls54%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls38%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls25%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.