Al Ain vs Tractor Sazi

Al Ain56%
Draw23%
Tractor Sazi21%

1.75 expected goals for Al Ain

1.03 expected goals for Tractor Sazi

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Al Ain the clear favourite: 56% to win. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 9.6 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
Over 3.5 goals30%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Both teams score50%
Al Ain or draw79%
Draw or Tractor Sazi44%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.6 expected

5.1 for Al Ain and 4.5 for Tractor Sazi

Over 8.5 corners58%
Over 9.5 corners48%
Over 10.5 corners38%

Cards

3.7 expected

1.6 for Al Ain and 2.2 for Tractor Sazi

Over 3.5 cards51%
Over 4.5 cards32%
Over 5.5 cards17%

Shots

28.4 expected

18.7 for Al Ain and 9.7 for Tractor Sazi

Over 20.5 shots85%
Over 22.5 shots77%
Over 24.5 shots67%

Fouls

19.8 expected

11.1 for Al Ain and 8.7 for Tractor Sazi

Over 20.5 fouls43%
Over 22.5 fouls28%
Over 24.5 fouls16%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.