Colchagua vs Trasandino
- Colchagua37%
- Draw25%
- Trasandino38%
1.34 expected goals for Colchagua
1.43 expected goals for Trasandino
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Colchagua attack, which scores 23% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Colchagua
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Colchagua attack−23%
- Trasandino defence+15%
Expected goals1.34
Trasandino
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Trasandino attack+14%
- Colchagua defence−8%
Expected goals1.43
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%
- Over 1.5 goals77%
- Over 2.5 goals49%
- Over 3.5 goals30%
- Over 4.5 goals15%
- Both teams score53%
- Colchagua or draw62%
- Draw or Trasandino63%
- No draw75%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.