Sunday 25 October, 09:00
Final score
Tottenham Hotspur W1-2Arsenal W
The model's most likely result happened: a Arsenal W win (64%).
Tottenham Hotspur W vs Arsenal W
- Tottenham Hotspur W18%
- Draw18%
- Arsenal W64%
1.26 expected goals for Tottenham Hotspur W
2.37 expected goals for Arsenal W
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Arsenal W the clear favourite: 64% to win. It expects 3.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 10.1 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals88%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals63%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals49%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals30%It did not happen
- Both teams score53%
- Tottenham Hotspur W or draw36%
- Draw or Arsenal W82%
- No draw82%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.1 expected
6.1 for Tottenham Hotspur W and 4.0 for Arsenal W
- Over 8.5 corners62%
- Over 9.5 corners52%
- Over 10.5 corners42%
Cards
3.2 expected
1.4 for Tottenham Hotspur W and 1.8 for Arsenal W
- Over 3.5 cards39%
- Over 4.5 cards21%
- Over 5.5 cards10%
Shots
33.2 expected
20.9 for Tottenham Hotspur W and 12.3 for Arsenal W
- Over 20.5 shots94%
- Over 22.5 shots90%
- Over 24.5 shots84%
Fouls
20.3 expected
10.5 for Tottenham Hotspur W and 9.8 for Arsenal W
- Over 20.5 fouls46%
- Over 22.5 fouls31%
- Over 24.5 fouls19%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.