Sunday 25 October, 09:00
Final score
Crystal Palace W1-3Chelsea W
The model's most likely result happened: a Chelsea W win (91%).
Crystal Palace W vs Chelsea W
- Crystal Palace W3%
- Draw6%
- Chelsea W91%
0.59 expected goals for Crystal Palace W
3.87 expected goals for Chelsea W
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Chelsea W the clear favourite: 91% to win. It expects 4.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 71% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%. And about 9.9 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals99%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals71%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals65%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals46%It did not happen
- Both teams score45%
- Crystal Palace W or draw9%
- Draw or Chelsea W97%
- No draw95%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.9 expected
4.8 for Crystal Palace W and 5.0 for Chelsea W
- Over 8.5 corners61%
- Over 9.5 corners50%
- Over 10.5 corners40%
Cards
3.0 expected
1.2 for Crystal Palace W and 1.8 for Chelsea W
- Over 3.5 cards35%
- Over 4.5 cards18%
- Over 5.5 cards8%
Shots
28.0 expected
11.5 for Crystal Palace W and 16.5 for Chelsea W
- Over 20.5 shots84%
- Over 22.5 shots76%
- Over 24.5 shots66%
Fouls
20.0 expected
10.8 for Crystal Palace W and 9.1 for Chelsea W
- Over 20.5 fouls44%
- Over 22.5 fouls29%
- Over 24.5 fouls17%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.