Probably Football

Matches

FA WSL (England)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

Brighton W3-0West Ham W

The model's most likely result happened: a Brighton W win (54%).

Brighton W vs West Ham W

  1. Brighton W54%
  2. Draw23%
  3. West Ham W23%

1.78 expected goals for Brighton W

0.99 expected goals for West Ham W

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Brighton W has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a West Ham W win at 23%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 9.6 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals30%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.6 expected

5.9 for Brighton W and 3.8 for West Ham W

  1. Over 8.5 corners58%
  2. Over 9.5 corners48%
  3. Over 10.5 corners38%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.8 for Brighton W and 2.1 for West Ham W

  1. Over 3.5 cards54%
  2. Over 4.5 cards34%
  3. Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

26.0 expected

18.4 for Brighton W and 7.6 for West Ham W

  1. Over 20.5 shots77%
  2. Over 22.5 shots66%
  3. Over 24.5 shots54%

Fouls

21.1 expected

9.3 for Brighton W and 11.8 for West Ham W

  1. Over 20.5 fouls53%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls38%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls24%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.