Sunday 25 October, 09:00
Final score
Brighton W3-0West Ham W
The model's most likely result happened: a Brighton W win (54%).
Brighton W vs West Ham W
- Brighton W54%
- Draw23%
- West Ham W23%
1.78 expected goals for Brighton W
0.99 expected goals for West Ham W
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Brighton W has the edge (54%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a West Ham W win at 23%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 9.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals30%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen
- Both teams score50%
- Brighton W or draw77%
- Draw or West Ham W46%
- No draw77%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.6 expected
5.9 for Brighton W and 3.8 for West Ham W
- Over 8.5 corners58%
- Over 9.5 corners48%
- Over 10.5 corners38%
Cards
3.8 expected
1.8 for Brighton W and 2.1 for West Ham W
- Over 3.5 cards54%
- Over 4.5 cards34%
- Over 5.5 cards19%
Shots
26.0 expected
18.4 for Brighton W and 7.6 for West Ham W
- Over 20.5 shots77%
- Over 22.5 shots66%
- Over 24.5 shots54%
Fouls
21.1 expected
9.3 for Brighton W and 11.8 for West Ham W
- Over 20.5 fouls53%
- Over 22.5 fouls38%
- Over 24.5 fouls24%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.