Al-Adalah vs Al Orubah
- Al-Adalah23%
- Draw29%
- Al Orubah48%
1.10 expected goals for Al-Adalah
1.47 expected goals for Al Orubah
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
Al Orubah has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Al-Adalah win at 23%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Al Orubah defence, which lets in 21% fewer goals than an average team. Next comes the Al-Adalah defence, which lets in 24% more goals than an average team. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Al-Adalah
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Al-Adalah attack−7%
- Al Orubah defence−21%
Expected goals1.10
Al Orubah
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Al Orubah attack−13%
- Al-Adalah defence+24%
Expected goals1.47
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals92%
- Over 1.5 goals73%
- Over 2.5 goals46%
- Over 3.5 goals26%
- Over 4.5 goals12%
- Both teams score53%
- Al-Adalah or draw52%
- Draw or Al Orubah77%
- No draw71%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.