Al-Raed vs Al Wehda Club
- Al-Raed35%
- Draw27%
- Al Wehda Club38%
1.66 expected goals for Al-Raed
1.64 expected goals for Al Wehda Club
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Al Wehda Club attack, which scores 23% more goals than an average team. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Al-Raed
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Al-Raed attack+3%
- Al Wehda Club defence+6%
Expected goals1.65
Al Wehda Club
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Al Wehda Club attack+23%
- Al-Raed defence−2%
Expected goals1.64
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals96%
- Over 1.5 goals85%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Over 3.5 goals42%
- Over 4.5 goals24%
- Both teams score58%
- Al-Raed or draw62%
- Draw or Al Wehda Club65%
- No draw73%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.