Probably Football

Matches

Division 1 (Saudi Arabia)

Monday 26 October, 11:45

Final score

Al Ula3-1Al Orubah

The model's most likely result happened: a Al Ula win (59%).

Al Ula vs Al Orubah

  1. Al Ula59%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Al Orubah15%

1.82 expected goals for Al Ula

0.78 expected goals for Al Orubah

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Al Ula the clear favourite: 59% to win. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals46%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals26%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.