Thursday 22 October, 12:00
Final score
Al Riyadh2-1Al Taawon
The model gave this result 30%. Its most likely result was a Al Taawon win (42%).
Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon
- Al Riyadh30%
- Draw28%
- Al Taawon42%
1.07 expected goals for Al Riyadh
1.24 expected goals for Al Taawon
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Al Taawon has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Al Riyadh win at 30%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.0 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals68%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals20%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen
- Both teams score52%
- Al Riyadh or draw58%
- Draw or Al Taawon69%
- No draw72%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.0 expected
4.6 for Al Riyadh and 4.4 for Al Taawon
- Over 8.5 corners52%
- Over 9.5 corners41%
- Over 10.5 corners31%
Cards
4.0 expected
2.1 for Al Riyadh and 1.9 for Al Taawon
- Over 3.5 cards57%
- Over 4.5 cards37%
- Over 5.5 cards22%
Shots
24.3 expected
13.2 for Al Riyadh and 11.0 for Al Taawon
- Over 20.5 shots70%
- Over 22.5 shots58%
- Over 24.5 shots46%
Fouls
21.6 expected
11.4 for Al Riyadh and 10.2 for Al Taawon
- Over 20.5 fouls57%
- Over 22.5 fouls42%
- Over 24.5 fouls27%
Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.